Wednesday, April 16, 2008
Deshawn Returns to Action by Discussing a Day-old Story
1. They will win at least 12 games
2. They will win the AFC South
3. They will go at least 7-1 at home (unless they have have another give up game)
4. They will win their first 6-8 games in a row.
5. All predictions are based on Freeney and Harrison being healthy.
Keeping these rules in mind is critical for spotting the potential pitfalls on the way.
Here's a game by game look at what 2008 will likely bring:
Week 1: Bears - Win (by a lot)
The first of several prime time games will invariably feature John Madden commenting that Rex Grossman fumbled because of "freakishly small hands".
Week 2: @Vikings - Win
Run D isn't the problem for the Colts that it used to be, and I trust Tavaris Jackson about as far as he can throw himself. That's an unnecessarily awkward way of saying, "He sucks, we win by 2 TDs."
Week 3: Jholes - Win
No team did less to help itself fix what was really broken than the Jags. Their defense was not good last year, and they did nothing but lose players. Their wide receiver additions are hilarious. They are heading back to 8-8, 9-7 territory
Week 4: @Texans - Win
This might be a tougher game than in years past (though they usually put up a fight at home), but I like the Colts coming off the bye week.
Week 5: Baltimore - Win
Remember when this was a scary game?
Week 6: @Packers - Win
This is one of those classic 'looks tough on paper until you remember that Brett Favre just retired' games. It seems there's one every year.
Week 7: @Titans - Win
As we've repeatedly shown, the Titans win in spite of VY. Unless he gets hurt before this game, they are going down at home on Monday night.
Week 8: Patriots - Win
I must admit that I hate playing them on a short week, but I think that a healthy Colts team is better than a healthy Pats team, so I'm picking them here.
Week 9: @Steelers - Loss
I don't think the Steelers are that good, but this game has bad weather/bad field written all over it. The '72 Dolphins rest easy.
Week 10: Texans - Win
No way the Texans win at Indy. Never happened, never will as long as #18 is upright.
Week 11: @Chargers - Win
Listen, I don't get the 'Phil Rivers has arrived' talk. He played a courageous game against NE in the playoffs...but he also sucked. He left the game at RCA with his team trailing. It was Billy Volek who won that game. So what has Phil Rivers done? He beat a mediocre Titans club and sucked at NE. . . oooh scary. I also scoff at the whole 'Chargers have the Colts number thing'. They won a game so long ago, that SD doesn't even have the same coach/QB anymore and two of the weirdest games ever last year. This team doesn't scare me at all.
Week 12- @Browns - Win
Perhaps no team will be as hilariously disappointing as Cleveland next year. All you had to do was watch them last year to see that they were frauds. Romeo Crenell got one of the least deserved and most franchise crushing contract extensions in history. This club will be in the crapper for about 3 more years.
Week 13- Bengals - Win
This team has fallen hard and fast.
Week 14- Lions - Win
Hee Hee.
Week 15- @Jholeville - Loss
I don't like the set up here. The Jags will be needing this to stay alive in the wild card hunt, and are playing at home on a short week. The Colts should have most everything sown up by this point, so this one smells.
Week 16 - Titans-???
So here's the magic question again: to rest or not to rest? The Colts and Bucs (two teams that rested starters last year) lost their first playoff games, thus renewing the moronic call to play every game all the way through. Everyone forgets that both teams came out blazingly fast in those games. I'm a believer that it doesn't much matter. In the new NFL, home playoff games are increasingly unimportant in terms of knowing who will win. If I had to guess, I'd say the Colts sit everyone down again, as the Titans eek out a narrow win that eliminates the Jags from playoff contention.
Final record 13-3.
I know. They went 13-3 last year too, so it seems like chalk. That's the thing about the Colts under Dungy. They are going to win between 12 and 14 games, so 13 seems like as good a number as any. Worst case, they go 11-5. Best case, they run the table (although ask a Pats player if they really think that is a 'best case' scenario anymore!)
Here's a list of (mostly) schedule related reading:
John Clayton talks about how tough the AFC North has it. I'm telling you, it's going to be a looong season in Cleveland.
DJ Gallo picks the top 40 games of the year. Number XI is priceless. He seems to think that Pats game is a big deal. Wonder why?
Don Banks (like everyone else) likes the Colts Pats the best, and also tries to drum up a non-existent controversy about the Colts-Browns.
FO looks back at the '02 draft. We did pretty well in that one.
Does this story scare anyone else? Other than maybe Mark Cuban when has the phrase "hands on owner" ever been a good thing?
Here's an old article that just came to me. Check out the photos too. It makes me feel sick to see the old park that way. I'll never forget seeing Billy Moore get the championship winning hit in '86 or Razor Shines play his last game. My favorite Bush memory is watching an exhibition game with the Reds. Deion Sanders led off with a walk, stole second and third and scored on a wild pitch. He was the fastest man I've ever seen. His acceleration was freakish. He was also much larger than I would have guessed. Thanks Chad, for the links (and for going to a lot of those games with me!).
Demond Sanders: I mostly agree with your picks and reasoning. Obviously it is a little dangerous making picks when we don't yet know whether two of Indy's highly compensated super stars will even take the field at 100% in 2008. However, I agree that we have to approach the season as if Harrison and Freeney will be back to normal. If that pair plays the entire season I think the Colts will finish 15-1 or 14-2. They'll fire bomb the Patriots at home if they have everyone at their disposal. I'd figure them to lose to the Steelers and maybe the Jags. I think they'll win XLIII next February.
Remember logic would dictate that this team should be much improved from 2007. They won't have as many injuries. Key players at OT, WR, CB, LB, and DT will have much more experience. If Polian can solve some minor issues at RB and DE depth this will be a team that we talk about for a long, long time. It's been tossed around many times before, but don't be surprised if we finally see the the return of Raheem Brock to Defensive End. Also, I'm starting to favor using an early-ish pick on a pass-catching back.
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Bone crushing 2008 schedule released
Sunday, April 13, 2008
Frustrating Saturday
As for my beloved Reds, they make me want to put my head through a plate glass window. Adam Dunn and Edwin Encarnacion are hitting back to back and if you add their batting averages together, you can maybe scrape .300. They are the 5/6 hole equivalent of the banjo hitting catcher and the pitcher's spot. My aggravation has been made worse by the fact that I also have Dunn on fantasy team for the first time since his rookie year call up. When he goes cold, he can flat KILL a club. I'm not exactly panicking on the Reds, mainly because several guys are hitting now (Votto is showing signs of life), and the pitching is still great. But it's annoying to be cursing two inexcusable 1-run losses to the Pirates (while stranding some 20 odd runners in two games) instead of celebrating a great start to the season. What's the cure for my ills?
Johnny Franchise starts today.
Wednesday, April 9, 2008
I'm no Faulkner or Eliot...
It's hard to run a football centric blog in the offseason when you root for a team that seems to take great pride in never having anything of note happen. Maybe we'll do a piece next week on who the Horse looks to snag with those three 6th round supplemental picks! Or not.
This piece is pure revisionist history. All I heard at the time was that the Chargers loved the chance to pick Leaf, and the Colts had just blown the biggest pick ever. The Chargers traded UP to get Leaf, the single worst pick in history. Let's not make poor Bobby B the victim here. Still the article was interesting because of the Polian quotes about the workouts with Peyton and Leaf. I had never heard that Manning worked out better than Leaf. That makes the pick look like even more of a slam dunk.
I gotta say that I realize it doesn't matter much, but the fact that the Pacers are trying to finish strong is cool. I feel like it's 1987 all over again and Stipo is driving in for a layup against the Knicks to put us in the playoffs. That came up short, and so will this, but the effort is nice to see.
When is a tough 10th inning loss still cause for celebration? Two words: Johnny Franchise. It's true, I have Cuetomania. I spent a long time last night wondering when the soonest I could drive the 4+ hours to Cincy just to see him pitch.
I am not going to change my opinion on Corey Patterson no matter how many clutch 8th and 9th inning homeruns he hits. Principally, because I'm terrified I'll jinx him and secondly, because all this proves is that he shouldn't be hitting leadoff. Note all these have been solo shots. Still, I'm not sure whether I should be rooting for or against him making me look like an ass.
I must say the words, "This team can't hit" at least 3 times a game.
*******
Finally, a personal note to the Colts Girl. We are so sorry for your loss. You and your family are in our prayers. I'm sorry this note comes at the end of such a run of triviality.
Tuesday, April 8, 2008
Steve Nash anybody?
This is hilarious. Listen the whole way through. Jay Bilas owns the ever-stupid Dan Le Batard. White Canadians apparently don't count in his moronic, race-baiting argument.
Yes, in case you are wondering...
Update: I think the whole "Roy Williams is wearing a Kansas sticker" thing was retarded. Coach K wore an IU button in 1987 at the Final Four even though IU had eliminated his Blue Devils earlier in the tournament. It was seen as a classy show of support for his friend Bob Knight. People need to get over themselves.
And yes, everything I know about college basketball eventually brings me back to 1987.
Monday, April 7, 2008
Dropping the Berraisms
It's 2003, and a Faustian bargain has been placed in front of Dusty. A goat-hoofed man (what is it with the Cubs and goats?) approaches Dusty and says, "Do you want to be the man to break the curse? I'll give you this one season to try. In exchange, all you have to give me is the future of Kerry Wood and Mark Prior. Their baseball souls for immortality! Think about it Dusty! Imagine the possibilities."
Dusty is an astute guy and responds to the Lord of Flies, "Wait, wait, wait. Last time I trusted you, I got to game 7 of the World Series in exchange for Barry Bonds' baseball immortality, but you yanked the rug out from under me! What's the catch man?"
The angel of light replies silkily, "Dusty, you wound me! There are no hidden schemes with me. What you see is what you get. I tell you Dusty, it's such a sure thing that you'll win the series with this Cubs team that I promise you that only the Cub fans themselves could possibly stop you! They would have to rise from their seats and literally steal the ball from the glove of your team. Dusty, my friend! Sure I'll claim the baseball soul of those two brilliant young men, but they'll be heroes forever in Chicagoland! Shake my hand and this curse is as good as lifted..."
Well just a few years after the Devil proved it ain't over til it's over, Dusty has brought his own unique brand of baseball wisdom to Cincinnati and things are looking up. The Reds have now seen two electric starts in 4 days from young Dominican arms, as well as a pair of walkoff wins spurred on by a guy who couldn't lay down a bunt and a 38 year-old back up catcher only playing because two other guys got hurt in front of him. There's some scarey hoo-doo going on in the Queen City, and I don't know whether to start getting excited or brace myself for some epic misery. Think about it. The only real question about this Reds team is if they can hit enough. Whereas I've always been a pessimist in football, I'm a natural optimist in baseball, but weird goings on in the first week in Cincy even have me a bit skittish.
Let's just say that as the summer wears on, I'll be keeping an eye out for pitch counts north of 120 and talking snakes.
Friday, April 4, 2008
An Odd Bandwagon (aka an apology to Jeff Keppinger but NOT Corey Patterson...not now not ever)
Jeff Keppinger has now had one bad game and two good ones. When he's hot, I'll love him. When he's cold, I'll hate him. It will take a lot for a player like that to get on my permanent good side. Still, I'm sorry I buried him on Monday. His minor league numbers don't scream 'future star', but he certainly came through the last two days.
Corey Patterson will get no such apology from me despite his solo home run on Wednesday. I have zero use for leadoff men with decent power and terrible, terrible OB%. Norris Hopper at the very least and eventually Jay Bruce should be manning CF for the Reds. As it stands, we'll get treated to lots of awesome solo shots and even more 0-4 games from good ol' Corey.
Thursday, April 3, 2008
Johnny Franchise
Wonders may never cease.
Demond Sanders: Amazing performance. Dusty compared it to the way Fernando Valenzuela broke onto the scene to dominate out of nowhere. It was good enough to warrant a little hyperbole. I'm proud of Dusty for pulling him, but you know deep down he wanted to see if the kid could go the distance.
An Open letter to Coach Crean
1. Don't cheat. I know some people are cynical and suggest that fans will back anyone who wins, and that may be true in places like the New England, but it doesn't fly in Hoosierland. We all want to win, but we want to follow the rules even more. Kelvin Sampson won. Ask around though and see how popular he is around these parts right now. Please, above all else: don't cheat.
2. Win the Big Ten. Not the crappy tournament that no one cares about. Win the Big Ten regular season title. That's what we care about around here. Winning Big Ten titles ensures that we can rub it in the face of Boiler, Buckeye and any other random fan we may know. Turn the Big Ten into our personal sandbox, and we'll love you for it.
3. Recruit players from Indiana, especially jump shooters. I'll be honest. Most Hoosier fans love the 2 guard over all other positions. Between Jimmy Chitwood, Steve Alford, and Reggie Miller, the smooth stroke from the three point line is what we are looking for. Get a couple of bonafide Hoosier sharp shooters, and we'll be good with that.
4. Don't ever say "Pro-style Offense" even if you run one. We won't take kindly. Also, make sure your team shoots at least 70% from the free throw line. We HATE it when a team can't shoot free throws. Say things like box out and screen a lot. We love it when coaches talk about screens and box outs.
5. Beat Purdue. Crush Notre Dame. Don't dream of losing to any of the following teams under any circumstances ever: Butler, ISU, Ball State. Don't even play IUPUI, IPFW, Valpo, or any other in-state collection of initials. Most Hoosier fans root for those teams the way someone might have a favorite minor league club. We like them, but we don't want to see the Yankees play them.
6. Plant us in the Sweet 16 regularly. Winning the tourney is a crap shoot. Don't get me wrong, you'd better a hang a banner at some point, but to keep the heat off, just get us to the second week every year, and we'll be pacified...for a while.
7. Be judicious in how you play the Knight card. If you do it too much, you'll aggravate one faction. If you don't pay him any homage, you'll never get the support of high school coaches and some ex-players that is necessary to have harmony. Good luck with that.
8. You have two seasons before we seriously expect results, but we had better start seeing improvement by the end of year two.
Do this, and you can retire as a minor deity in Indiana. Fail, and...hey, who am I kidding? You aren't going fail. You married Jim Harbaugh's sister. You're the man!
Best of luck,
Deshawn Zombie,
Member, Hoosier Nation since 1976.
Wednesday, April 2, 2008
Slipping it past us
Coaches can now defer a decision on the opening coin toss. This is similar to the college rule. Previously, the winner of the coin toss could only choose to receive or kick off.
This is wonderful. I always thought that winning the toss was a serious disadvantage, especially at home. In the Dome, the crowd would be amped up from the pregame stuff, but if the Colts got the ball first, they had to calm back down. It seemed to make more sense to have that energy channeled into a solid scream during a defensive possession, but the coach never had that option before. I also think that few exchanges are as devastating in a football game than the two consecutive possessions to end the first half and start the second. It will be interesting to see what Dungy elects to do when the Colts win the toss. I hope he elects to defer.
UPDATE: There's been some confusion on this rule, so here's a link to the OLD rule. Here's how it played out:
Colts win the toss to start a game. No matter what they chose (Kick, Receive, or endzone), the Patriots would get the choice to start the second half. Even if the Colts chose to kick off, the Patriots would STILL get the choice to start the second half. If a coach chose to kick first, the other team would get the ball to start the game, and then have the opportunity to chose the ball AGAIN to start the second half. There was NO ability to defer under the old rule. No NFL team ever chose to kick under the old rule (except in a couple of OT games with wind, but that wasn't a pregame choice). There was no advantage to kicking off first, because you still didn't get the ball to start the 2nd half, unless the other coach also inexplicably wanted to kick off.
New Rule: Colts win the toss. They can choose to Kick, Receive, end zone, or defer to the second half to choose. If the Colts deferred, the Patriots would then chose Kick, Receive, or end zone. NO MATTER WHAT THEY CHOOSE, the Colts now get the option to choose for the second half.
Read the original rule carefully, then read the bold italicized statement in the original post above.
Tuesday, April 1, 2008
Crean and Crimson
Okay, so Indiana's new coach looks like a huge dork, but he did manage to marry an aerobics instructor. And better yet she's Jim Harbaugh's sister. Yes, there is always a Colts connection.
It's Crean!
Base on early fan reaction Crean's hiring may pull off the difficult feat of uniting a fractured fanbase in Bloomington. Crean has coached for nine seasons at Marquette, overseeing their impressive ascent from Conference USA to the Big East in 2005. In that span of time he uncovered a hidden gem in Dwyane Wade and nabbed Richmond's Dominic James. His teams have qualified for five NCAA tournaments highlighted by a Final Four appearance in 2003.
Sorry Purdue fans, it looks like your time on top will be oh so short-lived.
More on this as it develops. . .
DZ COMMENTS: Considering the Lon Krueger rumors earlier today...
I couldn't be happier.
But wait, are we sure Dakich isn't still available?
IU Hires Dakich
Demond and I have discussed this hire at length and are genuinely pleased with it. Dakich can bring the same level of excellence to IU that he brought to Bowling Green. His first move was to boot players of the team. That's the kind of leadership we need at IU. Fewer players, more 6 AM runs.
Links:
From the "I never ever ever get tired of it" file:
The Sports Guy made my day with this note in his mailbag:
Q: I just got back from San Diego and I was with both of my brothers at the Oceanside Harbor eating lunch. My oldest brother comes back to the table and tells us we each owe him $50. He saw Junior Seau at the bar and paid the cocktail waitress to give him 18 beers and one empty shot glass. We paid him. -- Casey, Bend, Ore.
SG: (Hanging my head in shame.)
I wish I knew that guy's name so I could chip in some green too.
Also, check out this gem about the Jaguars. I swear they are the funniest team in the AFC. Troy Williamson to the rescuuuuuuue!
Monday, March 31, 2008
It's compensatory pick day!
Last year the Colts fared a little better, receiving third, fourth, and fifth round picks. I would have guessed that we would have gotten similar picks this year. But perhaps the fact that Dom Rhodes played very little for the Raiders in 2007 didn't help. Or maybe, just maybe they thought Edgerrin James was a tougher free agency loss.
DZ Comments: Why do I hear Adam Sandler's voice when I read that headline? Stop looking at me schwaaaaaan.
New day, same story
It's gonna be a long summer in the Central.
Madden-riffic
Now all we have to do is survive until September 4th. Thank God for baseball.
Links:
Ok, you have to realize how bored I am watch the Tigers Royals while I wait out rain delays. That'll explain why I link up this utterly bizzarre article. Don't read it if you are easily offended. It is among the weirdest things I've ever read.
I've also refiled some stuff on the main page. I'm in the process of updating some of the articles to include 2007 stats. Basically if you have any interest in the Vince Young Files or the old Eyes in the Backfield pieces, then check their new index pages.
Sunday, March 30, 2008
Tony Bennett is on the clock
As an IU fan I've been following their search for a head coach pretty closely. One thing you need to understand: IU does not have any money. Most major programs get the majority of their revenue from their football programs. See? I mentioned football. Money is the big reason why we are seeing the success of schools like Florida and Texas who aren't traditional basketball powers. I don't need to tell you that Indiana doesn't squeeze much green from its football program. To compound the issue they are still paying considerable sums to former coaches like Gerry Dinardo, Mike Davis, and Kelvin Sampson. Also they spent two million dollars on a new scoreboard for Assembly Hall.
The cash crunch pretty much eliminates the dream candidates like Bruce Pearl, John Calipari, and Rick Pitino. Dream is the operative word. This leaves the up and comers like Tony Bennett of Wazzu, Sean Miller of Xavier, Jamie Dixon of Pitt, and several others. Gary Parrish of CBS is reporting that Indiana has told Bennett the job is his if he can make up his mind within 24 hours.
Don't know much about Tony Bennett? He's the the son of former (Final Four in 2000) Wisconsin coach Dick Bennett and brother of former Indiana Women's coach Kathi Bennett. He starred at Wisconsin Green Bay as a guard and holds the NCAA record as the most accurate three-point shooter with a .497 percentage. He was an assistant under his dad for four years at Washington State. After his father's retirement, Tony took over the reins and has led the Cougars to back to back tournament appearances. The Cougars were knocked out in the Sweet Sixteen this year by UNC.
This doesn't sound like much of a resume unless you know a little about the feat that the Bennetts have pulled off at Washington State. WSU is arguably the most remote Division I program in the nation. It is nestled against Idaho on the eastern border of Washington. The Cougars are historically one of the worst basketball programs in DI. Before Tony Bennett, Wazzu had been to the NCAA tournament just four times in its less-than-storied history (1941, 1980, 1983, 1994).
The knocks on Bennett are obvious. He's only 38 years old and has been a head coach for just two years. He coaches a slow-tempo style that would fit in all too well in the Big Ten. The upside is that he has successfully recruited in about the most difficult place imaginable. His starting five is from Wisconsin, Hawaii, a transfer from Tulane, Australia, and Texas. He has players contributing off the bench from Serbia and Colorado.
You can't blame Indiana fans for expecting AD Rick Greenspan to screw up this hire. The goodwill he built up by the fantastic hiring of Terry Hoeppner has since been diminished by hiring of Bill "Division III" Lynch. The ugly end to the Kelvin Sampson era should have spelled the end to Greenspan's time in Bloomington. But here we are again. The program has been to one Sweet Sixteen in 14 years, but flirted with relevance this year. A great hire could save Indiana Basketball, but it feels as if one more bad decision could doom it.
UPDATE: Tony Bennett has turned down the Indiana job to stay at Washington "effing" State. Unbelievable how far the the Indiana program has fallen in the past fifteen years. To paraphrase Jackie Chiles: This is the most public yet of Indiana's many humiliations. I'm shocked, angry, and depressed.
DZ COMMENTS: It could be worse. We could be dialing up Zeke on the phone.
DZ: Just a note that the Harrison article is finished.
Saturday, March 29, 2008
A New Article? No Way...
It's amazing how the "Harrison is only great because of Manning" crowd has shown up. I'm about ready to lose it. The Pats fans want to dog Manning because he has Harrison and Wayne. NOW, some guy claims Wayne isn't even a top 10 wideout and Harrison is widely overrated because he gets to play with Peyton.
Let's be clear. Marvin Harrison has been a revelation at wide receiver for nearly a decade. He's made more impossible catches, crazy jukes, and clutch first down grabs than any man not named Rice. I've seen up close for all this time, and if you've watched him like we have, then you know that he is a man of incomparable skills.
(and yes this is all trumped up bluster. I know. But frick, what are we supposed to talk about? The Colts second round pick next month?)
UPDATE: Part two is also posted. Harrison is better than Irvin. Follow the original link and scroll down.
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
88 is 10th?
In happier news, the Boss is back through 2011. Aside from Manning staying healthy, nothing will go further toward making the Colts competitive than Bill Polian staying in the driver's seat.
Buster Olney needs to quit playing with my emotions.
Demond Sanders: I'm not sure we should even dignify this garbage journalism with a response, but here goes. I think the second spot is solidly up for grabs between Owens, Moss, and Harrison. Obviously many on the list are tough to compare because of the eras are so different, but certainly Chris Carter is flat out laughable. Irvin played in more or less the same era and his numbers are dwarfed by those of Harrison.
The headline on ESPN is appropriate: Out of sight. I think Marvin's absence last season has pushed him down at least five spots on this list and maybe more. I think in the end it will come down to how these three guys finish their HOF careers. Marvin is one championship up on both Owens and Moss. Can he get healthy and pad his lead?
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Football links? It's about time...
Scouts Inc ranks the top 64 wideouts. Wayne, Harrison and AG are 5, 13, and 45 respectively. I'd get into analysing this more, but it was done by Scouts Inc., so it's not really worth getting into it.
Don Banks discusses picking high in the draft, using the Colts as the idyllic scenario.
Some may wonder why we ignored Peyton's birthday yesterday. It's because Peyton doesn't have birthdays. He lives in a cryogenic tube in the offseason, and they thaw him out to play. He won't ever get older. He'll play for twenty more years at least.
Demond Sanders: I'll never understand the media's fascination with Steve Smith. To me it's all about on the field production. That's why to me it has to be Wayne, Moss, and TO (not necessarily in that order). Smith has played for seven seasons and has just one season with more than 100 catches and just one season with double digit touchdowns. Wayne on the other hand gets a little better every season. And say what you want about #81 and #81, but those a-holes know how to score.
DZ adds another link: Because it's easier than creating a whole new post just to say that the footballoutsiders have their AFC South offseason summary up. How boring is the Colts offseason? They spend more time talking about urinals than they do players we signed.
Hey, CBSsportsline has their offseason analysis up as well!
It's Pete Prisco, but we'll link it anyway.
Monday, March 24, 2008
Weekend Wrap-up
- Butler got hosed with their seed. They were clearly every bit the team that two seed Tennessee was. It was criminal that those two played a second round game. The committee should be ashamed. Great game, but it should have taken place in the Sweet 16.
- It was good to see Michigan St. and Wisconsin advance. Truth is that I expect MSU to beat Memphis. Memphis is embarrassing. I hate that team. They are artless.
- While no one was looking, the Pacers have gone and played themselves into contention. They'll have a tough go with the Hornets, but the rest of their schedule is very doable.
- Donnie Walsh is probably coming back; but it looks like Bird faces a demotion.
- The Tigers signing Miggy Cabrera to a long term deal is a great move. This kid is a beast and even if he does get off his conditioning program and blows up to look like ManRam, HE'LL STILL hit like ManRam, so where's the downside?
- The PGA finally figured out how to stop Tiger. Make the course so easy that everyone is 15 under par. Harder courses thin the field, easier courses make everyone play at his level. I realize that the wind/weather worked out to make that course in Miami play easy this week, but still. It's tough to go lower than everyone else when that means -20.
Links: Cold Hard Football Facts does their Colts offseason preview. There's nothing we don't already know, but it's always nice to read about football.
UPDATE: Ok, so no sooner is he back in, then we push him right out! Donnie Walsh is done with the Pacers. Bird is staying on. I'm not sure what impact this will have on the team moving forward but let's all just pause to say thanks:
For Reggie and Rik
For AD and DSquared
For the playoffs and the Finals
For Larry Brown and Larry Bird
For Mark and Slick
Donnie Walsh took pro-basketball in Indiana to the top and under his guidance we went from a franchise on the verge of implosion to a premiere franchise in the league for more than a decade.
Thanks Donnie. We'll miss you.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
Guest Columnist
The success of IU, Purdue, Butler is greatly impacted by the number of core kids from the state. When I say core, I mean key contributors. In 1994, under pressure to win, coach Knight moved away from his recruiting philosophy of having a core of Indiana kids and went after and landed three McDonald's All-Americans, with little or no Indiana ties, Neil Reed, Charlie Miller, and Andre Patterson. I was a freshmen with those guys and spent four years with them as an IU manager. The move didn't work.
IU has never really returned to Coach Knight's successful recruiting philosophy, (I'd like to see the 2002 roster, but wasn't the core Indiana/Midwest?) and has continued to look elsewhere for talent, going after the big names and not landing them and settling for decent talent from other states. Davis did it, Sampson was doing it. During these coaching changes, we've also seen three different styles or systems of basketball.
In the meantime, Purdue went through an orchestrated coaching change that passed the system and recruiting philosophy from Keady to Painter. There were some rough years for Purdue, but now they seem to have the ship righted and have a core of Indiana kids.
While IU was ignoring Indiana talent, Butler was reaping the benefits. The establishment of a system and the available Indiana players that fit the system well has seen them through some great years of basketball and three head coaches.
I tried to do some archiving and look at the rosters from all 3 of these schools for the last 20 years but I couldn't' dig anything up on the internet beyond the last few. I would love to look at that information and see what story it tells. I believe there is a formula for success there, and that Indiana has moved away from it.
Indiana doesn't need a big name magician of a basketball coach. I'm not sure if one would want to come here anyway. It just needs someone who has a developed system of success (Butler, Wisconsin, even the Colts operate by this philosophy) and knows how to assemble a core of Indiana/Midwest kids that fit the system. Even when IU was winning this year, it wasn't as enjoyable to watch as Butler and Purdue were (and currently are, since they are both still playing.)
Let me know if you are able to dig up any of this information and what story it tells.
DZ comments: It's surprising how long that info takes to find online. A trip to the library would probably yield faster results. I've found that a lot of info before 1999 gets sketchy in most sports. On the surface, your theory sounds probable. I think most of IUs problems have been caused by the pro-Knight faction that insisted on burying Mike Davis. For some reason, he was frozen out by the HS coaches in Indiana that had been loyal to Knight. The knock on him wasn't that he didn't try to recruit in state, but that he couldn't LAND any of the recruits in state. As for the '02 roster, the key players were Jeffries (Bloomington), Coverdale (Noblesville), Fife (Michigan). I believe they were the only real midwestern guys on the roster. A couple were from Georgia, and Newton was from NC. The bottom line is if three guys (Sean May, Greg Oden, Mike Conley) had gone to Indiana, we wouldn't be having this conversation. It's going to take a guy who can land the top Hoosier stars without cheating.
If you come up with any more research let us know; I count your opinion highly on Hoosier bball.
The real question is should we be rooting for the Boilers today? I'm having a hard time with it. It would help the Big 10, but... I'll just content myself to root for the Bulldogs tomorrow.
I'll let you all guess what Demond's answer to this question is. I doubt it would be printable.
Friday, March 21, 2008
Not with a bang
I don't know what was wrong with Eric Gordon. If he wasn't healthy (missing those free throws was inexplicable), then he shouldn't have played at all. He absolutely killed this team with his inability to shoot. He obviously isn't the same player he was early in the year. He couldn't hit anything.
All in all it was a fittingly embarrassing end to this train wreck of a season.
Demond Sanders: It's been a memorable couple of weeks as a fan of the Indiana Hoosiers. This season was an unmitigated disaster mainly because it started with such potential. There's nothing quite like starting a season 24-4 and finishing it 25-8. DJ White deserved much better than this. Part of what makes the college game great is that is is played by 20 year old kids who (mostly) play for free because they love it. But when things go wrong you are left with players who have the maturity of a 20 year old.
The larger problem as you suggest was the coach. If the Hoosiers could play a lick of defense they would have won the last three games going away. Also, it is a pet peeve of mine when coaches don't play guys regularly the entire season (DeAndre Thomas) and then lean on them for one game in the tournament. To answer your poll question I put a small hole in the drywall after kicking the space heater.
Tampa Two
Butler looked like world beaters, winning a tough game in the backyard of their opponent. I wouldn't be surprised to see them take Tennessee down on Sunday. The only really disturbing news of the day was JC's announcement that the Pats are pursuing Pac-man Jones. I think that if that team gets any more evil, a vortex will form around F-borough and swallow the universe whole. Seriously, has any team ever gone from 'classy model franchise' to 'cess pool of all that's wrong with sports and indeed American society itself' faster than the Pats?
So far the Big Ten and the Hoosier state are 3-0 apiece. No pressure guys.
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Written in Chalk
There were no buzzers to beat (and only two games all day were even vaguely close though the favorite won both and the underdog never had the ball with a chance to tie in the last minute)
and
Tiger Woods is the single most compelling figure in sports.
(1st day update: Big Ten 2-0. So far so good.)
Session 3: I think all of our hearts broke a little watching Duke slip through, which takes a little of the thrill out of what was finally a truly great game. The Big 12 pulled through a couple of minor upsets, but the form keeps holding for most of the tourney. Heck, half way through Lost and even it's obvious tonight (seriously? That was your big..."we're gonna kill one of these characters!" moment? Try shooting somebody who matters next time. At least when the X-Files pulled that crap they gave all three Lone Gunmen at once). We need some drama before bed time.
Session 4: This just seals it. Four weak finishes and no upsets. Lovely. When Duke beats a 14 by one in the only good game all day, it's time to pack it in and regroup. Here's hoping for better things tomorrow.
Big Ten 3-0, State of Indiana 2-0. Let's up those numbers tomorrow.
Link: This montage of Larry Legend is jaw dropping. Unfortunately, they don't preserve the original game audio, so you might as well watch with the sound down. He makes plays on this are stunning. I don't remember most of Larry's best years, and I saw all of Jordan's. I don't remember Jordan being this...impossible.
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Hope Springs Eternal
The record may not have shown it, but last year's Reds club was not awful. It just had the worst bullpen in baseball. Fransico Cordero may not be JJ Putz, and I'm no fan of throwing money at closers, but when you are this bad in the pen, something must be done. Check out this piece by Jason Stark and note the stats:
• This is a team that led more games at the end of the fifth inning last year (75) than the New York Mets, Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks (among others). You could look it up.
• This is a team that got outscored by 71 runs after the seventh inning last season and by 92 runs after the sixth.
• This is a team that lost eight games it led after seven innings and went a ridiculous 7-17 when it was tied after seven.
• And this is a team that was last in the National League in bullpen ERA (5.13) -- and allowed the highest opponent batting average (.282), on-base percentage (.360) and OPS (.807) of any bullpen in the league.
Arroyo had more quality starts last year (22) than Johan Santana, Roy Oswalt or Josh Beckett -- and still wound up 9-16. Part of that was due to five blown saves.
Sometimes, you just gotta roll the dice. The Cubs won the NL Central with what, 85 wins? The Reds were just a bullpen arm or two from contention. Maybe now they have have it.
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Colts retain DE Josh Thomas
At least he gives a rip
Good luck finding another one of those at that slot. Oh, and if you do, be prepared to endure the boos from the Indy faithful on draft day. So good on you, Larry, for still wanting to be a part of things. You are a better man than I.
At least we killed the Knicks again. Things could always be worse.
(Oh and by the way...No, I'm not going to get over Reggie being gone, so quit asking. And yes, I will be this way about the Colts in about 8 more years. )
Links:
An Eagles blogger celebrates the arrival of Dan Klecko as a fullback. Obviously, this isn't a huge loss for the Horse, but let's all give him a nice pat on the back farewell for scoring a huge touchdown in the AFC Championship game in 06. Thanks Dan. Best of luck.
IU comes in on the list of greatest tourney comebacks. What a night that was.
Monday, March 17, 2008
Irrelevant but Irritating
So what's irritating about all this...?
The Pats have the NFL's easiest schedule. Their opponents combine for a winning percentage of .387. The Chargers schedule is 2nd easiest.
Lovely.
Sunday, March 16, 2008
At least I don't have to get emotinally invested
The loss to Minnesota was one of the most gut wrenching I can ever remember. After DJ White did about 10 legendary things in the last 20 seconds (his block of the lay up will be too soon forgotten), for that team to lose that game just made you feel like it wasn't meant to be. Minnesota's last 4 baskets seemed to be on broken plays and tipped passes. The officials blew at least 4 major calls in the second half (the most egregious was the non-goal tending call on DJ's dunk). The snake has bit these kids so many times, that they must feel like a 12 pack of white mice by now.
So now the Hoosiers have a tough 8-9 game, and if they win the reward is North Carolina in their own sandbox. Great. At least I don't have to bother worrying about IU basketball much past this weekend. I suppose this way, it won't interfere with my fantasy draft coming up.
It seemed there was more odd decisions by the committee than normal this year. The screw job they put to Butler is utter unconscionable. At any rate, I'll be following my yearly tradition of not really filling out a bracket. I occasionally throw one together with zero thought, but I found that I enjoy the tourney more if I don't feel like I have to root for some favorite to be McCrap State just because I picked them to do so. I'd rather watch the last few seconds of a tight game pulling for any and every upset.
Still, I wish DJ White could get more than just one or two more games in Cream and Crimson. He was never greater than he was on Friday night.
Friday, March 14, 2008
Insert Title Here
Lost: I wouldn't say that we've actually watched from the beginning because originally it was on up against Smallville. We did start watching when the re-ran all the episodes after the first 9 weeks or so of season one, so I think that counts as more or less being there from the start. I love so many of the principle elements of Lost (sci-fi and shows with incredibly complex story arcs). I haven't missed a week since we started watching and have long considered it one of my favorite shows. My wife and I recently re-watched all 9 seasons of the X-Files and will someday really enjoy watching Lost in it's totality.
Smallville: Another show that we started watching from the start. It sort of defies all odds. It ought to really suck, and occasionally does, but most of the time it's terrific. Last season was great; this year has been alternately wonderful and awful. I think it's time for the show to wrap up soon (they have been renewed for next year sans Lex Luthor and Lana Lang), but I still really enjoy it most weeks. I could tell you all the reasons why I love it, but let's just say that with its Freak of the Week, Vancouver shooting, and complicated mythology that it filled a void left by the X-files.
How I Met Your Mother: Comes back Monday. I won't lie. I really like this show. I'm tired of constantly wondering when it'll get canceled.
30 Rock/Office: Big deal. Everyone likes these shows.
Scrubs: Remember when this show was consistently hilarious? It's been a while. I hate to see a show that I enjoyed so much end so poorly.
Battlestar Galactica: My sisters put us on to this a few months ago (how nerdy is my family?). Comes back for its fourth and final season in a couple of weeks. Shockingly good show, no matter what Gregg Easterbrook says (ahhh! See how I worked a vague football reference in!).
I also really dig Heroes (there's a shocker) and Pushing Daisies, but they have left us 'till next fall.
It's official, this is the worst post ever. I can't believe I've been reduced to talking about my TV watching habits. You might as well go read the back of a cereal box or something. I'd delete this, but that would somehow make me more pathetic for investing the time and then giving up on it. I'll just endure the abuse.
Now for something sports related:
ESPN covers the Colts offseason...um, couldn't you just post a blank page?
Greg Oden is practicing again. I hope he comes back strong. I hate OSU grads, but I'll pull for anyone from Indy.
Colts.com has an interview with Ryan Lilja. It has a few interesting quotes. You very rarely hear from O-linemen, so it makes for a fresh read.
Demond Sanders: Okay, what this week's bigger "I've jumped the Shark" moment: You admitting you watch Battlestar Galactica or Owen Wilson starring in DrillBit Taylor? Man, that movie looks horrendous.
Seriously though at what point did you look at your current Tivo lineup and say to yourself, this list may be littered with superheroes and magic islands, but it's a little light on, and I quote Wikipedia, "A civilization of humans who live on planets known as the Twelve Colonies and make war with a cybernetic race known as the Cylons, with the help of a human named Baltar."
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
The Worst Basketball Column of the Year
Listen, I'm not saying that Larry Legend has had a bang-up tenure as team president, but there are some very real differences that Scoop seems to be missing. Larry helped move this team to the brink of a title in 2004. Were it not for some bum legs in the playoffs and a crazy block by Tayshawn Prince, the Pacers might have been dancing that June. Then came the brawl (instigated by Ben Wallace, inflamed by the Pistons fans, turned into a zoo by the utter failure of court security, and scape-goated by David Stern in which Jermaine O'Neal was actually suspended for punching a member of Ben Wallace's posse who was ON THE COURT OF PLAY ATTACKING HIS TEAMMATES). Injuries and more off the court nonsense since then have left the Pacers desperately trying to remake their roster on the fly.
Scoop blames Larry for Mike Dunleavy and Troy Murphy, utterly failing to realize that that trade had ZERO to do with winning and everything to do with trying clean up the aftermath of Stephen Jackson's presence. At one point, he actually cites BILL SIMMONS as his source about the Pacers' cap woes. Seriously, Scoop? This is journalism?
Scoop says that Isiah's sexual harassment verdict is the same as random Pacers getting into scrapes with the law. I'm not sure that I buy that. The point of this isn't even to say that Larry's made all the right moves. Obviously, the team shouldn't have committed to Tinsley and Artest. Clearly signing the utterly insane Stephen Jackson was a mistake (although note how no one bags on Golden State for having him around).
Ultimately, if you ignore the fact that:
- the Pacers are STILL markedly better than the Knicks despite all the problems
- and actually have had real success under Larry
- that much of the franchise's trouble can be traced to David Stern throwing the Pacers under the bus instead of burying the Pistons franchise for their role in the ugliness
- and Larry didn't ill advisedly hire a coach that ran out with 18 million dollars,
- AND the fact that Larry didn't sexually harass another employee, resulting in a multi-million dollar law suit and national humiliation for the owner and franchise
People are easier on Larry because 1. it's not nearly as bad a situation and 2. it clearly wasn't all his fault.
People kill Isiah because he's an idiot, not because he's black.
Worst Baseball Article of the Year
When some of us (OK, me mostly) advocated dealing, say, Votto and Homer Bailey for Oakland pitcher Joe Blanton, the Statboys came out flame-throwing numbers:
and
if you suggested that no number matters but Games Won, you were dismissed as an illiterate.
and
Baker understands this. If Dunn walks 30 fewer times this year, he'll drive in 15 more runs. His on-base percentage will dip. Oh, no.
If Votto takes fewer first-pitch strikes, his run production will improve.
And so on. Here's a stat: Wins as manager: Dusty Baker, 1,162; Bill James, 0
Huh. So Dunn should walk 30 times less for 15 more runs. Of course he'll probably score fewer runs too. And make more outs. Walks are not Adam Dunn's problem. Strikeouts with runners on base are his problem. His utter inability to hit a fly ball with a guy on third are his problem. I've never minded Dunner walking with a guy at third. A WALK IS A GOOD AT BAT. The problem is when he flails wildly at two bad pitches and then takes a 1-2 fastball on the inside corner because he was looking for the curve. Like I said, I'm willing to grant you that there is more to winning than just being a numbers geek (like say, ruining the future of two of your brightest young pitching stars by throwing them until their arms fall off), but the numbers guys aren't wrong. Trading Votto and Bailey for Joe Blanton would have been one of the most unforgivable deals in Reds history. At the deadline in a pennant race if you really thought he'd give you a shot at the Series? Eh, maybe. But not before spring training.
Like I said, I'm willing to pull for Dusty, but now I almost want him to be horrible just show idiots like Daughterty that stats really do matter.
I feel sick, and it's only March.
UPDATE: Here's a similar, angrier version of this post by another blogger at firejoemorgan.com (a site I generally spurn, since I love Joe Morgan as a broadcaster despite my sabermetric leanings). I'm not surprised others are saying the same thing about this piece. IT WAS AWFUL.
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Shooting for the Top
Who would ever have thought that a guy who once grabbed his crotch on national TV would symbolize all that once was right and good with the Pacers? Come back to us, Reggie. We need you now more than ever.
Monday, March 10, 2008
Indy South
Meanwhile, the Titans have signed Alge Crumpler proving two things:
1. He loves QBs who can't throw (thanks to CHFF for the heads up)
2. The Titans continue to be smart enough to not blow big money receivers for a QB who can't get them the ball.
Meanwhile, Simons asks what if... I hate to even think about it. The devolution of the Pacers continues to be one of the saddest and most unexpected stories of my adult life. I literally get sick thinking about it.
Demond Sanders: Just in case anyone was wondering, Warrick Dunn isn't going to play for the Colts next year.
Sunday, March 9, 2008
Back in the Loop
- The Ipod Touch is great, but for some reason, I could comment on blogs but not write new ones. I supposed that saved me the embarrassment of odd misspellings and incoherent posts. Wait...
- The Colts chased and lost out on back up DE Tyler Brayton who went to Carolina for more playing time. This guy was a washout in Oakland, but might have been a solid back up. At any rate, it shows that Polian and company saw what we all saw in the Charger game: no pass rush=loss every time.
- Favre retired. I thought the talk about whether he is the greatest of all time was a little weird. I know he holds several records by virtue of just playing forever, but at no time (even when he was winning MVP awards) did I ever think he was the best QB alive. I was always blinded by Elway, I guess. The last of his records to fall will be the consecutive start record, which #18 should own sometime around 2013 (give or take some playoff games and a possible lockout/strike). I liked Favre as well as anyone, and have always been pro-Packers, but I think this is one star that fades some as time goes by.
- Lost continues to rule on Thursdays. I pity those of you who gave up on it.
- Dan Dakich is not acquitting himself well.
- Eric Gordon goes hot and cold faster than any player I've seen in a long time. He's sort of Chuck Person-esque.
- My fantasy league went to great pains to work out a draft date only to have everything thrown into a tizzy because we forgot about the stupid games being played overseas. Seriously, this has to be the dumbest gimmic of all time. Why do those games have to count in the standings? Would playing exhibition games spread the game any less than playing regular season ones? Sometimes I hate Bud Selig.
- Ok, I hate him all the time.
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
Monday, March 3, 2008
Randy Moss: Sucker
What?
It took Jerry Porter EIGHT SEASONS to score 30 CAREER touchdowns and he got $10M guaranteed from the Jags.
What?
Randy Moss had 23 touchdowns last year. 23.
Marvin Harrison got $23M guaranteed four years ago. And the salary cap has gone up dramatically since then.
What?
Adalius "bust" Thomas got the same $12M signing bonus last year, with $22M front loaded over the first two years of his deal.
Am I missing something here?
The contract is only 3 years long, so that is in Moss's favor. But realistically this is it for him. He's given up his last best chance to cash in. And frankly it all makes me sick. Remember, we're not talking about Matt Jones here. This is a guy who changes everything for your team (provided your quarterback isn't Andrew Walter). This guy caught 17 TDs his rookie year, giving Randall Cunningham his best year with 34 TDs against 10 picks. This guy made Daunte Culpepper look like an All Pro. This guy took Tom Brady, who had never thrown 30 touchdowns in a season, all the way to 50 touchdowns.
I probably need to let this go. I better go watch the Super Bowl again.
Update: Check out this hilarious piece from John Clayton. I love how Clayton thinks the fact that Moss got more than Jerry Porter was some kind of moral victory for Randy. And he almost got as much as Bernard Berrian! Take that New England! I guess "the professor" has been in the medicine cabinet again. But seriously, you have to admire Bill Belichick asking Moss to play for $7 million per season. He may be a megalomaniacal jerk, but he's a gutsy megalomaniacal jerk.
Randy Moss: Savvy Businessman
As another point of reference Asante Samuel is getting $20 million guaranteed on his 6 year, $57 million deal with the Eagles. The guaranteed money will be the key to fairly judging the Moss contract, but as it stands now it looks very questionable. I'd be very surprised if another club isn't willing to outdo the Pats by a wide margin. More on this as it develops.
Sunday, March 2, 2008
Pay the Man
Some people wrote off the Colts last spring because of their major free agency losses. Now it is the Patriots turn to suffer. The Pats have already lost key contributors Donte Stallworth and Asante Samuel. Losing Moss would cap a very poor week for New England. The Colts were able to overcome thier losses because they had capable replacements waiting in the wings. I'm not sure you can so easily replace 23 receiving touchdowns.
Saturday, March 1, 2008
Heading back to the 'Tina
Seriously? Jerry Porter? I'm sure we'll get lots of hilarious articles over the next 5 months trying to convince us that the Jags have passed Indy, and more than a few about their upgraded receiving corps. I'm not buying any of it. The Jags seem primed for a huge regression just based on Garrard alone. I wouldn't bet the house on his ability to post a passer rating over 100 for a second straight year, and their defense showed serious signs of regression. The best thing you can hope for as a football fan is for a team in your division to get seriously active in the free agency period. It rarely ends well for those that do.
